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Glenda Umaña
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.n819263, .n819263 *:not(i){color:;} .n819263:hover, .n819263 *:hover {color: !important;}

¿Qué dice el FMI de la situación en Venezuela?

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Si las previsiones del FMI se cumplen, el episodio de hiperinflación que atraviesa Venezuela será el más grave de las últimas décadas en Latinoamérica.

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#Crisis
#Economia
#FMI
#Precios
#venezuela
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18 Abril, 2018

Por: Paula Brenes Rodríguez

De acuerdo con estimaciones del Fondo Monetario Internacional, Venezuela cerrará el 2018 con una inflación del 13.864%.

Mientras que en el 2019, el valor de decenas de productos básicos crecerá hasta el 12.874%. Eso quiere decir que, en dos años, se prevé que los precios suban la astronómica cifra del 1.811.751%.

Esto significa que los precios se multiplicarán por más de 18 mil en el mismo período.

De acuerdo con especialistas en economía, el costo de la canasta básica en Venezuela venía en aumento desde hace mucho y la tendencia hiperinflacionista, no tiene vuelta atrás al menos por ahora.

El FMI asegura que “Venezuela ha sufrido una intensificación de su crisis económica y humanitaria desde 2014”.

Si las previsiones del FMI se cumplen, el episodio de hiperinflación que atraviesa Venezuela será el más grave de las últimas décadas en Latinoamérica. Ni siquiera la Argentina de finales de los ochenta se podría comparar a lo que puede sufrir Venezuela.

Si se cumplen estas estimaciones la escalada de precios también sería superior a la de los episodios de hiperinflación en Perú durante los noventa y solo se le acercaría a la de Nicaragua, donde la subida de precios llegó a ser del 13.110% en 1987.

El nivel de inflación actual de Venezuela solo está detrás del de Zimbabue, donde la subida de precios llegó a ser del 500.000.000.000% en 2008.

Los datos del FMI dibujan un panorama que constituye una gran excepción en toda la región. Colombia crecerá un 2,7%; Brasil, un 2,3%; Argentina, un 2%; Chile, un 3,4%; Bolivia, un 4%; Perú, un 3,7%; y Ecuador, un 2,5%.

Las medidas venezolanas

Para tratar de hacer frente a esta situación, el gobierno lanzó una moneda virtual, el petro y utilizó como garantía las reservas de crudo, que no ha conseguido paliar la penuria.

Además el gobierno anunció la creación de una nueva moneda, el bolívar soberano, que sustituye al bolívar fuerte, eliminando tres ceros, lo que significa que un bolívar soberano equivale a 1000 bolívares fuertes.


“El bolívar fuerte ya sustituyó al bolívar tradicional por la misma razón de uno a mil, de modo que un bolívar soberano equivaldrá a un millón de los antiguos bolívares. Esa sustitución monetaria es reflejo de que el bolívar ha perdido el 99,9% de su valor desde que el Gobierno de Hugo Chávez instauró los controles de cambios en 2003”.

Otra medida que implementó el gobierno fue usar los controles de precios para frenar la inflación, incluso movilizó tropas para controlar los precios en los supermercados.

El FMI prevé que el paro alcance a un tercio de la población activa, la mayor tasa de desempleo de todo el mundo, por encima de países como Suráfrica, Sudán, Bosnia o Grecia.

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LAS MÁS LEIDAS

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GLENDA AHORA “LAS COSAS COMO SON” DIEGO DELFINO

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Enorme carencia en enseñanza de periodismo emprendedor

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