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Glenda Umaña
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Alemania: ¿Qué sucederá tras la elección cerrada?

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El Partido Socialdemócrata (SPD) ha ganado las elecciones federales de Alemania, pero lo ha hecho con un margen muy estrecho: un 25,7% de apoyo por un 24,1% de la coalición de la Unión Demócrata Cristiana (CDU) y la Unión Social Cristiana (CSU).

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#Alemania
#Elecciones
#Europa
#GlendaAhora
#Noticias
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27 Septiembre, 2021

El Partido Socialdemócrata (SPD) ha ganado las elecciones federales de Alemania, pero lo ha hecho con un margen muy estrecho: un 25,7% de apoyo por un 24,1% que ha conseguido la coalición de la Unión Demócrata Cristiana (CDU) y la Unión Social Cristiana (CSU) hasta ahora en el poder, que cae a mínimos nunca antes vistos en su historia.

La diferencia es tan reducida que tanto el SPD como la CDU/CSU han expresado su intención de liderar un Gobierno de coalición para el que ambos necesitarían contar con el apoyo de Los Verdes, que han logrado el mejor resultado de su historia con un 14,8% del voto y 116 escaños; y el Partido Liberal Demócrata, que ha logrado un importante 11,5% y 91 escaños.

El líder del SPD, Olaf Scholz, dijo que tenía un claro mandato para formar gobierno, mientras que su rival conservador, Armin Laschet, sigue decidido a seguir luchando. Los dos partidos han gobernado juntos durante años, pero Scholz afirma que ha llegado el momento de formar una nueva coalición con los Verdes y los liberales.

Los resultados preliminares dieron a su partido una estrecha victoria electoral sobre los conservadores, que sufrieron los peores resultados de su historia.

A pesar de ello, el Sr. Laschet dijo que su partido le había dado su respaldo para entablar conversaciones con los socios de la coalición, empujando a Alemania hacia una lucha de poder potencialmente prolongada.

Los Verdes y el pro-empresarial FDP fueron los que más apoyo obtuvieron entre los menores de 30 años, en unas elecciones dominadas por el cambio climático y por las diferentes propuestas sobre cómo afrontarlo. Los Verdes hicieron historia con casi el 15% de los votos, aunque no alcanzaron sus ambiciones.

En Alemania no son los votantes los que eligen directamente al jefe de Gobierno, sino los diputados, una vez formada la mayoría. Pero, esta vez, la mayoría es especialmente complicada de formar. Debido a que la intención de los votantes está dispersa, será necesario reunir a tres partidos, para conseguir una coalición con peso suficiente para gobernar.

Así que este proceso de definición del nuevo Gobierno podría sumir a la primera economía europea, acostumbrada a la estabilidad política, tras 16 años bajo el liderazgo firme de Merkel, en un largo periodo de parálisis política, mientras duren las negociaciones para formar una coalición.

Tras las últimas elecciones, en 2017, se necesitaron más de seis meses para alcanzar un acuerdo y formar la actual “gran coalición” gobernante de los dos partidos mayoritarios, conservadores y socialdemócratas.

Si la tendencia se confirma, Scholz podría estar en posición de suceder a Merkel y desencadenar el "cambio" que prometió al final de su campaña. Deberá componer una coalición tripartita, algo que 55% de los alemanes prefiere, según un sondeo.

Las negociaciones quizá retrasen, adicionalmente, la marcha efectiva de la canciller, de 67 años, que ha dedicado más de tres décadas a la política.

Con la colaboración de la periodista Sasha Muñoz Vergara.

Gráfica de DW

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LAS MÁS LEIDAS

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CDC insiste en urgencia de vacunarse ante la variante Omicrón

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